显示标签为“随便想想 随便看看”的博文。显示所有博文
显示标签为“随便想想 随便看看”的博文。显示所有博文

2008年12月4日星期四

一篇据说充满统计谬误的例子

从博文(http://www.stat.columbia.edu/~cook/movabletype/archives/2005/03/lowess_is_great.html)的一段留言中举了一篇包括生态谬误等一系列统计谬误的文章,留言具体如下:

Further Googling of Martin Voracek would have turned up this gem: National intelligence and suicide rate: an ecological study of 85 countries.

Now here's an article that has it all in terms of statistical fallacies. He attempts to argue that intelligence is a causal factor for suicidality using the following methodology: Each country in the world is assigned an IQ and this national IQ is correlated with national reported suicide rates. It's really amazing - he's managed to incorporate the ecological fallacy, reporting bias, selection bias, profound confusion about the definition of IQ (a measure of intelligence relative to a typical individual), unmeasured confounders, terrible measurement methodology and just a generally goofy scientific approach, all in one bogus study! There should be an award for this.

Posted by: js at December 20, 2005 10:43 AM.


还没有细看这篇文章,等有机会好好琢磨一下这个反面教材。

找到一个感兴趣的BLOG

最近找到一个和自己的兴趣有点相投的博客。博客将心理、社会和复杂性方法大杂烩一样的融合在一起,企图用复杂性科学的研究理念和方法将心理和社会串接起来,进行全面地思考和操作。我觉得这是一个很有前瞻性和值得进行的研究视角。

博客的文章比较通俗活泼,易于理解。我可以从中获得很多启发。特别是里面一些别具心思的图片来衬托说明的原理,让人拍案叫绝。更重要的是我意识到有人和自己在想相似的东西,这是一件让人觉得幸福的事情。

顺便我可以学习一下博客上的英文写作:)

博客地址:http://encefalus.com/